Speaker: Prof. Marta Malecka, Dept. of Statistical Methods, Univ. of Lodz, Lodz, Poland Abstract: The reformed Basel framework has left value at risk (VaR) as a basic tool of validating risk models. Within this framework, VaR independence tests have been regarded as critical to ensuring stability during periods of financial turmoil. However, until now, there […]
Speaker: Dr. Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez, Director of Quantitative Analysis and Artificial Intelligence, Miralta Finance Bank, Madrid. Abstract: We introduce a novel framework for portfolio construction, covering both selection and optimization, based entirely on ensemble learning theory. A portfolio is modelled as an ensemble in a multi-hypothesis prediction setting, with each constituent (base learner) focused on […]
Speaker: Prof. Lorenzo Mercuri, Dept of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods, Univ. of Milan Abstract: A self-exciting point process with a continuous-time autoregressive moving average intensity process, named CARMA(p,q)-Hawkes model, has recently been introduced. The model generalizes the Hawkes process by substituting the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck intensity with a CARMA(p,q) model where the associated state process is […]