STA 6166 UNIT 1 Section 3 Exercises
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# Unit 1 Section 3 Exercises

You can choose to work some or all of the problems listed below. We recommend that you at least work the general questions and the problems listed in your major area of interest. When you finish, check yourself against the answers. Answers can be found here.

General Questions.
1. Identify the following random variables as being either discrete or continuous.
1. Concentration of an environmental toxin in eggshells of a given bird species.
2. Number of mutations in a bacterial culture after exposure to a mutagen.
3. Understory biomass in a quarter meter survey area.
4. Blood pressure of a heart patient in a clinical trial.
5. Age of the same heart patient.
6. Time to failure in a concrete pressure test.
7. Proportion of citrus fruit on a tree that is infected by the Mediterranean Fruit fly larvae.
8. Number of high school graduates in a sample of 100 prisoners.
2. For each of the following pairs of events, decide whether or not the events are independent. Can you explain why?
1. The number of eggs laid (A) and the concentration of toxins in the eggshell (B) for birds living in a contaminated ecosystem.
2. Failure of a metal beam (A) and the size of the load imposed on it (B).
3. The height (A) and weight (B) of an individual.
4. The age (A) and gender (B) of an individual.
5. The number of telephone poles in a county (A) and the number of lung cancer deaths per year (B).
3. Work problem 4.28 in Ott and Longnecker, page 140. Can you rewrite this problem for a common situation in your area of study?
4. Which of the following are valid probability (mass) density functions?
1.  x 0 2 4 6 8 P(X=x) 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
2.  x -2 -1 0 1 P(X=x) 0.22 0.31 0.23 0.24
3.  X 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ P(X=x) 0.06 0.21 0.33 0.31 0.21 -0.19 0.08
5. Let Y be a binomial random variable. Compute the following probabilities.
1. Let n=10, p=0.2, compute P(Y=3).
2. Let n=4, p=0.4, compute P(Y=2).
3. Let n=16, p=0.7, compute P(Y<13).
6. Use Table 1 in the Appendix of Ott and Longnecker to find the area under the standard normal curve for the following.
1. For z between 0.0 and z=1.3
2. For z between -1.0 and z=1.0
3. For z between 0.0 and z= -1.3
4. For z greater than 1.75
5. For z less than -1.75
7. Using Table 1, find the value of z, call it z0, such that P(Z>z0) = 0.25.
8. Suppose that Y is a normal random variable with m = 100 and s = 15. Compute the following using Table 1 in the Appendix.
1. P(Y<100)
2. P(Y>110)
3. P(88 < Y < 120)
4. P(100 < Y < 108)
5. Find the value k such that P(100 - k < Y < 100 + k) = 0.6
9. State in your own words what the Central Limit Theorem for the Sample Mean says.
For students in agriculture and environmental fields.
1. As part of a wading bird research project in the Florida Everglades, you monitor nesting in two large egret rookeries for egg laying and nesting success. Results are described in the table below.
2.  Number of Nests Examined Number of Nests with Eggs Number of Nests with Hatchlings Rookery 1 103 37 17 Rookery 2 92 21 9 Total 195 58 26

Using this table compute the following:

1. What is the (estimate of the) probability of finding an egg in a nest?
2. What is the conditional probability of finding an egg in a nest given it is from Rookery 1?
3. What is the probability of a nest producing a hatchling?
4. What is the conditional probability of a nest producing a hatchling given that the nest has been reported as having at least one egg?
5. Are the estimates of the conditional probability of a nest producing a hatchling the same for Rookery 1 as for Rookery 2.

3. Yield of a particular fruit is known to be normally distributed with mean of 10 kg/tree and standard deviation of 2 kg/tree. Suppose yields of twenty trees are to be collected and the average computed. What is the probability of observing an average yield below 9 kg/tree? (HINT: use the Central Limit Theorem to tell you what the sampling distribution of the mean should be, compute the z-score for 9 kg/tree, then find the appropriate probability using Table 1).
For students in engineering fields.
1. The emergency room of a hospital has two large backup generators, either of which can supply sufficient electricity for basic operations in the event of loss of power from the regional grid. Each generator is tested a number of times over a year with the results given below;
2.  Number of times tested Number of times it failed to start Generator 1 104 3 Generator 2 104 6 Total 208 9

With this information compute the following:

1. What is the (estimate of the ) probability that Generator 1 will fail to start?
2. What is the probability that Generator 1 will start?
3. What is the probability that one or the other of the generators will work when needed ( P(Gen 1 works or Gen 2 works)?
4. What is the probability that both generators fail to work simultaneously when needed ( P(Gen 1 fails and Gen 2 fails)

3. A robotic device for tightening a bolt is designed to produce torque values that are normally distributed with mean of 8 ft-lbs and standard deviation of 1 ft-lbs. We plan to tighten 30 bolts with this device, then measure the actual torque level. What is the probability of observing an average torque value for these 30 readings that is between 7.4 ft-lbs and 8.6 ft-lbs. (HINT: use the Central Limit Theorem to tell you what the sampling distribution of the mean should be, compute the z-scores for the torque limits, then find the appropriate probability using Table 1).
For students in toxicology and health science fields.
1. A simple bioassay is performed to determine the toxicity of a pesticide on a infaunal copepod. The marker of aquatic toxicity was the capacity of the copepod to produce young that grow to the adult stage (26-day maturation). The table below presents information on the numbers of survivors to adulthood for the control group (no pesticide) and the treated group (40 microgram/l exposure).
2.  Sex of Offspring Female Male Total Control 315 107 422 Treatment 229 93 322 Total 544 200 744

Compute the following:

1. What is the probability of observing a male offspring (P(event A=being male)?
2. What is the conditional probability of observing a male offspring given the control group (P(A|B=being in the control group))?
3. What is the probability of a male offspring being also part of the control treatment group (P(A and B)?

3. The level of nitrogen oxide in the exhaust of a new model of car when driven in city traffic is reported to have an approximately normal distribution with mean of 1.4 g/km and standard deviation of 0.19 g/km. We plan to take exhaust readings from 22 cars and compute their average NO exhaust level. What is the probability of observing a mean that is below 1g/km? (HINT: use the Central Limit Theorem to tell you what the sampling distribution of the mean should be, compute the z-scores for 1 g/km, then find the appropriate probability using Table 1).
For students in community development, education and social services fields.
1. (From Ott and Longnecker, p135, #4.16) A survey of a number of large corporations gave the following probability table for events related to the offering of a promotion that also involved a location transfer.
2.  Married Promotion/Transfer Two-Career Marriage One-Career Marriage Unmarried Total Rejected .184 .0555 .0170 .2565 Accepted .276 .3145 .1530 .7435 Total .46 .37 .17

Using this table compute the following:

1. What is the probability that a professional (selected at random) would accept the promotion?
2. What is the probability that a professional (selected at random) is part of a two-career marriage?
3. What is the conditional probability of accepting the promotion, given the professional is part of a two-career marriage?

3. Based on the 1990 census, the numbers of hours per day that adults spend watching television is approximately normally distributed with a mean of 5 hours and a standard deviation of 1.3 hours. We plan to survey 50 adults and record the number of hours they watch television in a day. What is the probability that the average number of hours for our sample exceeds 6 hours per day? (HINT: use the Central Limit Theorem to tell you what the sampling distribution of the mean should be, compute the z-scores for 6 hours per day, then find the appropriate probability using Table 1).