Zhilan Feng

Mathematical Models of Influenza Dynamics

In this talk I will present two examples of mathematical models
for the transmission dynamics of influenza. The first example is
a simple SIR epidemic model with a seasonally forced infection
rate. The model provided an accurate Prediction on the course of
the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in the United States. The second
example is an endemic model with both drug sensitive and drug
resistant strains of influenza. The influence of antiviral use
on the prevalence of both strains are discussed, and the
results are made accessible via user-friendly Mathematica
notebooks.